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Apple Inc will likely report a more than 4% drop in revenue, its second straight quarterly decline, weighed down by consumers shunning non-essential purchases such as iPhones and Mac computers and slowing growth at its services business.
Apple (
NASDAQ:AAPL
) will announce its second-quarter financials on Thursday, May 4, 2023. Wall Street expects Apple’s top line to drop, reflecting the ongoing weakness in product sales. However, the momentum in Services revenue could continue to support overall sales.
Analysts Weigh In
Analysts expect Apple to report
revenue of $92.91 billion in the second quarter, reflecting a year-over-year decline of about 4.5%. Momentum in Services sales and the easing of supply-chain headwinds and improvement in China could support overall revenue, but tough year-over-year comparisons and pressure on consumer spending due to high inflation and interest rates will likely hurt Mac sales.
Monness analyst
Brian White expects AAPL’s Q2 revenue to decrease by 6%. In a note to investors dated May 1, White expects iPhone sales to improve compared to Q1. However, he sees iPhone revenue declining by 4% year-over-year. The analyst projects a 43% drop in Mac revenue, reflecting weak consumer spending trends and normalization in demand post the easing of COVID-led lockdowns.
Nonetheless, White forecasts a 7% growth in Apple’s Services sales, reflecting a growing installed base of active devices and an increase in paid subscriptions.
Along with White, Goldman Sachs analyst
Mike Ng sees a 3% drop in Apple’s Q2 revenues. On April 24, the analyst said he expects a 5% fall in AAPL’s product revenues. However, he expects iPhone sales to offset the weakness in Mac revenue.
Given the ongoing pressure on its top line, analysts project AAPL’s earnings to decline in Q2. Wall Street expects AAPL to
post earnings of $1.43 a share in Q2, compared with an EPS of $1.52 in the prior year’s quarter.
Is Apple a Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Apple stock has gained about 30% year-to-date. Further, analysts maintain their bullish outlook on AAPL stock. It has received 21 Buy, four Hold, and one Sell recommendations ahead of Q2, reflecting a Strong Buy consensus rating.
The analysts’ average price target of $175.05 implies 3.86% upside potential.
Bottom Line
While Apple’s top line is projected to decline in Q2, iPhone sales could show improvement. Further, the easing of supply-chain headwinds and ongoing strength in the Services segment bodes well for growth. Apple could also provide a favorable update on share buybacks or dividends, which could act as a catalyst.
Disclosure
The Franklin U.S. Large Cap Multifactor Index ETF (FLQL) was launched on 04/26/2017, and is a passively managed exchange traded fund designed to offer broad exposure to the Large Cap Blend segment of the US equity market.
Looking for broad exposure to the Large Cap Blend segment of the US equity market? You should consider the John Hancock Multifactor Large Cap ETF (JHML), a passively managed exchange traded fund launched on 09/28/2015.
Designed to provide broad exposure to the Style Box - All Cap Value category of the market, the iShares U.S. Equity Factor ETF (LRGF) is a smart beta exchange traded fund launched on 04/28/2015.
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