Nasdaq AMZN Amazon

What happened Shares of Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) fell 10.3% in January, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.

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U.S. earnings news has been less impressive this reporting season than in recent quarters, giving some investors another reason to worry after Wall Street's tumultuous start to the year.

All three Wall Street benchmarks advanced on Tuesday and the energy index closed at a record high, although seesaw trading reflected investor uncertainty about how to play the current market.

PayPal Holdings Inc on Tuesday narrowly missed Wall Street estimates for quarterly profit, as the online payments firm failed to match up to its blistering pace of growth a year earlier, sending its shares down nearly 12% in extended trade.

Advanced Micro Devices forecast full-year revenue above expectations on Tuesday, as it looks to overcome global supply snags to meet strong demand for chips used in gaming consoles and data center servers.

Advanced Micro Devices forecast full-year revenue above expectations on Tuesday, as it looks to overcome global supply snags to meet strong demand for chips used in gaming consoles and data center servers.

Another seesaw session ended with the Wall Street benchmarks in positive territory and the energy index at a record high, although trading reflected investor uncertainty about how to play the current market.

U.S. earnings news has been less impressive this reporting season than in recent quarters, giving some investors another reason to worry after Wall Street's tumultuous start to the year.

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Wall Street indexes seesawed between positive and negative territory on Tuesday as investors digested data releases and awaited big tech earnings.

Recent times have not been kind for Amazon (AMZN). The stock has come under pressure as, unsurprisingly, the company has been unable to sustain the outstanding growth seen at the height of the pandemic’s impact.  

The stock market has been somewhat unforgiving, and exacerbated by the overall recent downturn, shares now sit 20% below last July’s all-time high.

Which lays the ground for an intriguing quarterly readout, when the company delivers Q4’s financials this Thursday (Feb 3, AMC).

According to Evercore’s Mark Mahaney, the Street’s expectations for revenue of $137.8 billion, operating income of $2.480 billion and EPS of $3.72 “look reasonable,” despite having a more bullish tint than Mahaney’s forecast. The analyst expects a more subdued performance given a proprietary Evercore survey showed “slightly muted” Q4 trends for ecommerce participants.

However, in 17 of the last 23 quarters Amazon has delivered above the high-end of its Operating Income guide, and Mahaney admits his Q4 Operating Income estimate of $1.108 billion “may prove to be conservative.”

That said, moving forward, the 5-star analyst thinks the Street might be overconfident. Looking at expectations for 1Q22, consensus is calling for a sequential revenue drop of just 12%, which Mahaney says is “a tad aggressive.” Even more optimistic is the Street’s 1Q22 Operating Income estimate, which stands at $6.6 billion and indicates a 5.5% margin. Mahaney calls this forecast “very aggressive,” expecting OI of $4.1 billion and a 3.5% margin.

The consensus view probably underestimates several factors’ impact, according to Mahaney. “We believe the Street may not be fully accounting for margin headwinds created by ongoing wage inflation, ongoing tho lessening supply chain issues, dramatic logistics investments, media spend, and AMZN’s COVID-related spend,” he explained.

Nevertheless, Mahaney stays with the bulls. The analyst rates AMZN an Outperform (i.e. Buy) along with a $4,300 price target. This would reflect gains of ~44% should the stock ultimately reach this target. (To watch Mahaney’s track record, click here)

Overall, Amazon is a rare beast: a name with large analyst coverage lacking any naysayers. Based on Buys only – 22, in total – the stock boasts a Strong Buy consensus rating. The Street’s average price target stands at $4,192 and change, and suggests ~40% upside potential for the next 12 months. (See Amazon stock forecast on TipRanks)

To find good ideas for tech stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analyst. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.

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