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Nio vs. XPeng vs. Tesla: Which EV Ride Does the Street Prefer?

4 years 5 months ago

Major EV stocks are in the red this year as investors moved to safer value bets from growth stocks amid soaring inflation, high interest rates and geopolitical concerns. Moreover, prolonged chip shortage and supply chain disruptions due to lockdowns in China have impacted EV production.

Chinese EV stocks have been facing an additional challenge of potential delisting from U.S. exchanges due to failure to comply with audit requirements. 

Given this challenging backdrop, we used the TipRanks Stock Comparison tool to stack up Nio, XPeng, and Tesla against each other and pick the electric vehicles stock which the Street favors.  

Nio (NYSE: NIO)

Premium EV maker Nio has now listed its shares on Hong Kong and Singapore exchanges, thus addressing concerns about the potential delisting of its shares on the U.S. stock exchange, to some extent.

Nio’s April deliveries declined due to supply chain issues and COVID-19 restrictions in China. That said, Wall Street continues to be bullish on the company’s long-term prospects.

Recently, Bank of America Securities analyst Ming Hsun Lee upgraded Nio stock to a Buy from a Hold, and increased the price target to $26 from $25. Lee feels that negative factors have already been priced in and the stock is trading at attractive valuations currently. The analyst expects higher sales and better margins in the second half of this year.

According to Lee, key growth catalysts for Nio include a robust model cycle and order backlog, the ability to pass on increased costs to customers through price hikes, supply chain normalization, and reduced ADR delisting concerns given Nio’s new exchange listings.

Lee raised his sales volume estimates for 2022 and 2023 by 3% and 8%, respectively, based on Nio’s new model launches and the recovery in production.

Other analysts are in agreement with Lee’s bullish stance, resulting in a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 14 unanimous Buys. At $40.66, the average Nio price target implies 133.81% upside potential from current levels. Shares have plunged 45% year-to-date.

XPeng, Inc. (NYSE: XPEV)

XPeng targets the mid- to high-end segment in China’s EV market. The company is also expanding into the European EV market.

Last week, XPeng announced its Q1 results, with revenue rising nearly 153% to RMB 7.45 billion ($1.18 billion). It delivered 34,561 vehicles in Q1, up 159% year-over-year.

However, the company's adjusted loss per ADS (American depositary share) widened to RMB 1.80 ($0.28) in Q1’22 from RMB 0.88 in Q1’21 due to higher research and development expenses, increased marketing expenses, and a rise in expenses related to sales network expansion. Further, investors were disappointed with XPeng’s Q2’22 outlook, which reflected slower growth rates.  

Barclays analyst Jiong Shao lowered his price target for XPeng stock to $30 from $39 and reiterated a Buy rating. Shao feels that investors should “ignore” Q2 outlook as XPeng’s long-term thesis remains intact.

Shao noted that XPeng's production is gradually resuming and Q2 is “abnormal” due to lockdown-induced supply chain issues. Shao believes that XPeng is set to be among key beneficiaries of EV consumption stimulus.

Overall, consensus among analysts is a Strong Buy on XPeng stock based on 10 Buys and one Hold. The average XPeng price target of $39.41 implies 67.70% upside potential from current levels. XPeng shares have tumbled 53% so far this year.

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)

While shares of other EV makers are impacted by macro headwinds, Tesla shares have an additional factor that make the stock more volatile – it’s CEO Elon Musk’s actions and tweets. Most recently, his proposed acquisition of Twitter, which he has since put on hold, has led Tesla shareholders to again question the company's leadership. Although, it can be surmised that Musk's outspokenness is a quality many investors appreciate.

On the operational front, Tesla delivered stellar Q1 results despite supply chain woes and inflation. However, concerns continue to linger about whether Tesla will be able to meet its full-year production goal of 1.5 million vehicles as supply chain issues persist.  

That said, Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy believes that the pullback in Tesla stock offers an attractive entry level given that the company’s long-term opportunities remain intact.

Following a visit to the company's Fremont facility, Levy noted that while Tesla’s manufacturing focus ahead is on its Shanghai, Berlin and Austin gigafactories, “Fremont has shown ongoing manufacturing kaizen.” Meaning improvement, Kaizen is a philosophical Japanese business term which refers to continuous small changes building up to positively affect a company from top to bottom.

However, the analyst expects Tesla's near-term, mainly Q2, performance to reflect “some regression” in its margins and total deliveries essentially due to production challenges at the Shanghai facility.

Levy reiterated a Buy rating with a price target of $1,125.

Overall, the Street is cautiously optimistic on Tesla with a Moderate Buy consensus rating that breaks down into 14 Buys, 10 Holds, and six Sells. The average Tesla price target of $930.55 suggests 22.72% upside potential from current levels. Shares are down 28% year-to-date.

Conclusion

Demand for electric vehicles remains strong despite recent price hikes by major EV makers. Wall Street analysts are currently treading carefully with regard to Tesla, while they are very bullish about Nio and XPeng. With a higher upside potential based on the Street’s average price target and a unanimous Buy rating from all analysts, Nio seems to be a better pick right now.

While supply-chain issues and macro headwinds might impact near-term performance, Nio’s strong position in the Chinese EV market, expansion into new geographies, like Europe, continued innovation, and its battery-as-a-service offering make it an attractive long-term pick.

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IWF, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA: ETF Inflow Alert

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Why Tesla Stock Stalled on Tuesday

4 years 5 months ago
What happened Shares of electric-car maker Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) stalled out of the gate on Tuesday, after Barron's commented that analyst estimates for the company's Q2 production levels "look a little high." As of 10:10 a.m. ET, Tesla stock is down 2.5%.

Poll Pitting AOC Against Elon Musk Backfires: Here's Which One Is More Trusted By Twitter Users

4 years 5 months ago

The world’s richest man is no stranger to polling his users on Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR) to prove his points or opinions. A poll was put forth on Twitter by another user to try and show that Musk’s polls may not be accurate, but backfired. Here are the details.

What Happened: Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, who is pursuing an acquisition of Twitter, recently polled users to see who people trust less, billionaires or politicians. The poll showed that 75.7% of Musk’s followers trust politicians less than billionaires.

In response to the poll, Occupy Democrats writer David Weissman made his own poll in an attempt to show lack of support for Musk.

“Let’s prove how phony the right’s ridiculous polls are by doing one of our own. Who do you trust more?” Weissman asked on Twitter. The two possible selections were Musk and AOC, referring to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

Musk won the poll with 81.2% of the vote, showing that he is far more trusted than Ocasio-Cortez, the U.S. Representative serving the state of New York.

Let's prove how phony the right’s ridiculous polls are by doing one of our own. Who do you trust more @elonmusk @AOC

— David Weissman (@davidmweissman) May 27, 2022

Related Link: Here's Why AOC Deletes Her Tweet After Musk Tells Her To Stop Hitting On Me 

Why It’s Important: Weissman, who was attempting to show that Musk’s previous poll was inaccurate, lost in his fight.

“Not sure how this poll flipped but I won’t delete it and will take the L,” Weissman said.

Weissman says in his Twitter profile that he is a former Republic and supporter of President Donald Trump, but is now a “proud liberal Dem.”

Musk responded to Weissman’s poll with “at first, I thought this was parody” along with a crying laughing emoji.

The Tesla CEO is one of the most widely followed accounts on Twitter and has seen support from both Republicans and Democrats.

Those thinking of conducting polls against Musk could use this as a lesson that he can easily drum up support from fans.

Photo: Courtesy of nrkbeta and Ministerio Das Comanicacoes on Flickr

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