Waiting for a stock to drop to a specific price is a common practice among investors. While this strategy makes sense, it can be risky. The stock may take a long time to drop to the desired price. There's also a risk that it never gets there at all.
Global stock markets were muted on Friday, with investors holding their breath as the White House and U.S. lawmakers edged towards a deal on funding government spending to avoid an economy-shattering default.
Asia's stock markets were cautiously higher on Friday, with Japan leading gains, while the dollar took a breather as investors hoped for an eleventh-hour deal to avoid a U.S. debt default.
NVIDIA said on May 24, 2023 that its board of directors declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.04 per share ($0.16 annualized). Previously, the company paid $0.04 per share. Shares must be purchased before the ex-div date of June 7, 2023 to qualify for the dividend. Share
The stellar bull run in Nvidia (
NASDAQ:NVDA
) stock continues with its
Q1 earnings and upbeat guidance, providing additional fuel for growth. NVDA stock has gained nearly 160% year-to-date and commands a market cap of about $939 billion. Meanwhile, the robust
AI (Artificial Intelligence) demand and NVDA’s dominant positioning in the AI space indicate that the uptrend in NVDA stock could sustain, implying that it could become the first
chip company to attain $1 trillion in market cap.
Coming out of the Q1 earnings call, Susquehanna analyst
Christopher Rolland increased his price target to $450 from $350, implying about 18.5% upside from the current price levels. Based on Rolland’s price target, NVDA could easily surpass $1 trillion in market cap over the next 12 months.
Rolland expects NVDA’s end markets to grow rapidly. Autonomous driving and high-end infotainment will support auto market demand. Meanwhile, large cloud deployments for AI and machine learning will drive strong demand for its GPUs in the Datacenter segment.
Thanks to the recent run in NVDA stock, its valuation looks expensive. However, Rolland believes that NVDA’s premium valuation over its peers is warranted as it is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing end markets.
Echoing similar sentiments, Goldman Sachs analyst
Toshiya Hari believes that the momentum in NVDA’s Datacenter segment will likely sustain in the coming quarters. Hari said that the “proliferation of Generative AI across various verticals” will drive sequential growth in the coming quarters.
While the analyst sees competition rising, he expects Nvidia to maintain its leadership in the industry, at least in the near term, due to the deployment of complex AI models. Hari raised his price target on NVDA stock to $440 from $275 and reiterated a Buy recommendation.
Given the expectations of sustainable demand amid AI buzz, several analysts increased their price targets on NVDA stock following Q1 earnings.
One of them is Craig-Hallum analyst
Richard Shannon, who upgraded NVDA stock to Buy from Hold. He raised the price target to $500 from $190. Also, Morgan Stanley analyst
Joseph Moore raised NVDA stock’s price target to $450 from $304.
What’s the Prediction for NVDA Stock?
The company’s solid financial performance and AI demand keep analysts upbeat on
NVDA stock. It has 26 Buy and seven Hold recommendations, translating into a Strong Buy consensus rating. Further, the stock carries a “
Perfect 10” Smart Score on TipRanks.
Bottom Line
Solid AI demand, flourishing end markets, analysts’ Strong Buy consensus rating, and upward revisions in price targets following Q1 earnings suggest that the momentum in NVDA stock could sustain and drive its market cap higher.
Disclosure
Indian shares advanced on Friday, led by information technology (IT) stocks tracking a rise in U.S. peers, while improved global cues also lent support.
Indian shares are set to open lower on Friday despite improved global cues, after the volatility in the previous session in which the benchmarks reversed losses in the final hour of the May series expiry day.
Stocks were subdued on Friday, apart from standout gains in Japan, as an artificial intelligence rally took a breather and as time ticked out on high-stakes talks to avoid a U.S. debt default.
There's no question that hype has been in the driver's seat for the broader basket of top
artificial intelligence (AI) stocks. Undoubtedly, we're fresh off one of the worst technology-centered sell-offs since the dot-com bust. As such, it's not hard to imagine some investors are likely to remain somewhat skeptical about getting on the back of a new momentum-driven trend.
Though AI has fueled quite a bit of valuation multiple expansion across a large number of names that still face considerable macro headwinds, I don't think you can consider mega-cap AI stocks as a bubble about to burst. Some mega-cap technology names may be on the expensive side, but a lot of them have still yet to hit new highs.
Therefore, let's check in with
TipRanks' Comparison Tool to tune into three powerful tech giants that could leverage AI to increase their dominance.
1. Microsoft (
NASDAQ:MSFT)
ChatGPT was the AI product that sparked the wave of AI enthusiasm back in late 2022. Microsoft's stake in ChatGPT-maker OpenAI made Microsoft an early "go-to" stock to get one's AI exposure. In recent quarters, Microsoft has really doubled down on AI by committing to bringing chatbot tech to its broader basket of software offerings.
Indeed, generative AI has become a must-add enhancer or "sweetener" for almost every tech firm these days, and that's largely thanks to Microsoft. As the company moves forward with its AI rollout, I believe investors are right to forgive nearer-term macro-related headwinds for the longer-term growth runway paved by AI. The road ahead will be bumpy, but I believe it's still worth staying on the ride. As such, I remain bullish on MSFT stock.
Though I do not doubt Microsoft's AI prowess (it's really one of the mega-cap AI pioneers), one must never lose track of the valuation. After Microsoft stock's AI-assisted 53% surge off its November lows, the price of admission has gone in a hurry. Sure, AI excitement may have gotten a bit ahead of itself. However, I find it hard to believe that we'll see the stock trading at pre-ChatGPT levels (think the mid-20 times earnings range).
Generative AI has the potential to be transformative, even for multi-trillion-dollar tech companies. At this juncture, AI's impact on the growth of a company like Microsoft still seems difficult to fathom. If Microsoft can get AI right (regulation and all), it stands to win a lot. Arguably, Microsoft's track record of seizing opportunities from emerging technological trends makes the stock worth the premium price tag.
At 33.6 times trailing price-to-earnings, the stock is trading slightly above its historical averages. Nonetheless, at the current pace of AI innovation, I don't view the stock's historically-stretched multiple as enough reason to take profits quite yet.
What is the Price Target for MSFT Stock?
Microsoft currently comes in at a Strong Buy, with 29 Buys, four Holds, and one Sell. The
average MSFT stock price target of $328.70 implies a mere 0.9% gain.
2. Alphabet (
NASDAQ:GOOGL)
Microsoft was touted as the AI frontrunner during the first few months of the year. For a while, it certainly did seem like Bing AI would put Google Search on notice. ChatGPT seemed like a more convenient and amusing way to get one's questions answered, but now that Alphabet has had a chance to flex its AI muscles, the tides are turning back in Google's favor.
Alphabet's latest I/O event unveiled a slew of AI innovations that helped fuel a glorious double-digit percentage rally. Investors liked what they saw, and the stock has since been rewarded in a big way. Despite the sharp run, I remain bullish on GOOGL stock as it still looks like one of the cheapest (26.9 times trailing price-to-earnings) ways to gain AI exposure.
Further, the AI-heavy I/O event may help GOOGL stock sustain a rally back to its former highs. Earlier this week, Bank of America (
NYSE:BAC
) reiterated its "Buy" on the name, noting that Google retains an "edge" over ChatGPT and that there are no signs that ChatGPT is stealing Google's lunch. Google's search traffic has been holding steady, and it could gain ground as the firm slowly and cautiously rolls out new AI-driven features.
I like the way Alphabet is playing it cautiously with new AI features. Sure, Alphabet seems to be taking its time relative to Microsoft, but the AI race is one that's likelier to be won by the firms that move slow and steady, not the one that moves fast and breaks things.
What is the Price Target for GOOGL Stock?
Alphabet sits at a Strong Buy, with 28 Buys and just one Hold. The
average GOOGL stock price target of $130.57 implies a 5.7% gain from here.
3. Nvidia (
NASDAQ:NVDA)
Nvidia stock shocked and awed as it delivered second-quarter guidance that sparked a ~24% rally today. Indeed, a move of that magnitude is uncommon for a giant like Nvidia, which now has a market cap near $1 trillion. As shares look to flirt with the $400 range, questions linger as to just how high the AI king can fly.
Nvidia has arguably been the biggest mega-cap winner from the AI race and has been a "pick and shovels" sort of play, at least according to Bank of America.
Nowadays, it seems like every firm is loading up on GPUs (Graphics Processing Units) to stay competitive on the AI front. Though it seems like GPU demand will stay higher for longer (the firm forecasted a whopping $11 billion in sales for this quarter against Wall Street's expectations of $7.2 billion), I continue to find it hard to justify today's lofty valuations.
I admire CEO Jensen Huang and the company's dominant position in the AI race. However, I'm just not comfortable running the risk of paying up for many years' worth of growth right off the bat.
Given the boom-and-bust nature of the stock, I have no issue waiting for the next bust before I'd consider initiating a position. For now, I am bearish, entirely due to valuation.
Deutsche Bank's (
NYSE:DB
) Jim Reid recently stated that Nvidia stock is "trading on heroic valuations" and that "time will tell if they are justified." These comments were made well before the latest spike.
At more than 28 times price-to-sales and 175 times trailing price-to-earnings, there's little room for error as the stock eclipses new all-time highs.
What is the Price Target for NVDA Stock?
Nvidia stock sits at a Strong Buy, with 26 Buys and seven Holds. Nevertheless, the
average NVDA stock price target of $313.59 implies 17.4% downside potential.
Conclusion
AI has the potential to be profoundly disruptive. Given the number of doors it can open, a case could be made that valuations aren't nearly as extended as they could be. Further, the recent rally in AI-driven tech companies may not be over, even if the market takes a step backward step amid U.S. debt ceiling jitters. While analysts (collectively) don't really expect upside potential from MSFT and NVDA at current prices and expect minimal upside from GOOGL, the stocks are still worth keeping in mind.
Disclosure
On May 25, 2023 at 10:43:26 ET an unusually large $5,705.48K block of Call contracts in NVIDIA (NVDA) was sold, with a strike price of $350.00 / share, expiring in 22 day(s) (on June 16, 2023). Fintel tracks all large options trades, and the premium spent on this trade was 3.86
On May 25, 2023 at 14:38:40 ET an unusually large $3,903.44K block of Call contracts in NVIDIA (NVDA) was sold, with a strike price of $375.00 / share, expiring in 22 day(s) (on June 16, 2023). Fintel tracks all large options trades, and the premium spent on this trade was 2.56
On May 25, 2023 at 15:41:52 ET an unusually large $2,248.73K block of Call contracts in NVIDIA (NVDA) was sold, with a strike price of $400.00 / share, expiring in 113 day(s) (on September 15, 2023). Fintel tracks all large options trades, and the premium spent on this trade was
What happened
Shares of Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) popped as much as 22.3% this week, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. The digital verification, customer engagement, and application programming interface (API) company's CEO spoke at an investor conference this week
We started the trading day with a fork in the road between market indices that either have high-growth tech names like NVIDIA NVDA (the Nasdaq) and those that do not (the Dow). Those narratives played through to the close, thought
Asian stocks could be poised to end a volatile and dramatic week on a strong note on Friday, especially tech, lifted by the Nasdaq's best day in three weeks on Thursday and hope that U.S. lawmakers are close to a deal on the debt ceiling.
Progress on U.S. debt ceiling talks bolstered global equities and sent gold prices to a two-month low on Thursday, as forecast-smashing revenue from chipmaker Nvidia fueled a rally in AI-related companies.
What happened
Shares of Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) were rising this week as the chipmaker picked up some tailwinds from NVIDIA's (NASDAQ: NVDA) blowout guidance in its earnings report on Wednesday. That signals a surge in demand for AI-related chips, and bodes well for