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The U.S. housing market just flashed a major warning sign. Here’s what the latest numbers reveal

2 days ago

The number of new real estate listings is down, but that isn’t cause for alarm—not yet, anyway.

In a new housing report for the month of October, Realtor.com found that sellers aren’t eager to list homes right now, but they’re not bailing out of the market altogether either. That said, the number of homes under contract in October dropped by 10.5% compared to one year prior, the biggest decline since late 2023.

“The market is cooling on both sides, but in different ways. Buyers are stepping back as higher mortgage rates cut into their buying power, while sellers are listing less often without a broad increase in delistings or price cuts,” Realtor.com’s chief economist, Danielle Hale, said. “We’re seeing a pause in new supply, but owners who already have homes on the market appear to be largely [unfazed].”

New listings in October were down 7.5% compared with October 2025 and 16% compared with October 2019. At the same time, 4.4% of active listings were pulled from the market last month, a percentage of delistings that is actually a slight improvement over October of last year. 

High interest rates are driving the market chill, with the 30-year mortgage average rate hovering around 7.33% last month. One in five listings experienced price cuts last month, compared with 3% in 2019, a sign that interest rates continue to shape market dynamics. October also marked the 12th straight decline for the national median list price, which fell 2.2% to $415,000. 

“Rates eased to 7.24% on October 29, down from 7.40% in mid-October, but they remained 107 basis points above a year ago and 53 basis points above early September,” Realtor.com’s senior economist, Jake Krimmel, said. “That loss of purchasing power is showing up first in demand.”

High rates weigh on buyers and sellers

In October, the real estate market was still defined by stubbornly high rates that cut into what many potential homebuyers can afford to pay for a monthly mortgage. Meanwhile, homeowners who bought a home from 2020 to mid-2022 are locked in to interest rates of 4% or lower—numbers that most of the real estate world doesn’t expect to see again anytime soon. 

That dynamic creates a degree of gridlock in the market, as many homeowners are reluctant to give up low rates and are staying put. Given the market conditions, it’s clear that anyone opting to sell now likely doesn’t have much choice in the matter.

Homebuying slows down through the holiday season, but the coming months will still offer an “important test” of the balance between pricing and available inventory, Realtor.com observed in its monthly report. “On the seller side, we see more of a pause than an exodus,” Krimmel said. “. . . We also haven’t seen a meaningful increase in delistings. As we approach the holidays, a seller pulling a listing around Halloween or Thanksgiving is not necessarily showing the same distress as one who exits in midsummer.”

After the US midterms, what will a lame duck Trump mean for the global economy?

2 days ago

Republicans’ crushing setback will play out in stock markets, inflation, interest rates and economic growth

Donald Trump’s loss of control of the House of Representatives and the Senate has put the world economy on notice for an unpredictable final two years of his presidential term.

After Democrats swept aside his Republican party in the midterm elections, analysts said the prospect of a highly erratic lame-duck president would have significant implications for financial markets, growth, inflation, government borrowing costs and living standards.

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Notable ETF Outflow Detected - DFUV, LIN, COP, WFC

2 days ago
Looking today at week-over-week shares outstanding changes among the universe of ETFs covered at ETF Channel, one standout is the Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF (Symbol: DFUV) where we have detected an approximate $254.8 million dollar outflow -- that's a 1.6% decrease wee

Hogs Post Mixed Trade on Tuesday

2 days ago
Lean hog futures were mixed at the close, with contracts down 27 cents to $1.32, with December the lone contract seeing strength, up 42 cents. Open interest was down 228 contracts. USDA’s national base hog price was reported at $45.39 in the Tuesday afternoon report, down $4.62 from the day...

Cattle Look to Midweek Trade Following Tuesday Weakness

2 days ago
Live cattle futures posted losses of $1.55 to $2.67 across the board on Tuesday. Open interest was up just 956 contracts on Tuesday. Cash trade has been quiet to start the week, with USDA reporting light early at $340 dressed in the north and $215 live. Feeder cattle futures were...

Hogs Post Mixed Trade on Tuesday

2 days ago
Lean hog futures were mixed at the close, with contracts down 27 cents to $1.32, with December the lone contract seeing strength, up 42 cents. Open interest was down 228 contracts. USDA’s national base hog price was reported at $45.39 in the Tuesday afternoon report, down $4.62 from the day...

Cattle Look to Midweek Trade Following Tuesday Weakness

2 days ago
Live cattle futures posted losses of $1.55 to $2.67 across the board on Tuesday. Open interest was up just 956 contracts on Tuesday. Cash trade has been quiet to start the week, with USDA reporting light early at $340 dressed in the north and $215 live. Feeder cattle futures were...

Cambridge asks Post Office inquiry barrister to lead review into death of Jason Arday

2 days ago

Jason Beer KC will examine university’s handling of claims against Arday and protection offered to academics in spotlight

The lead barrister for the Post Office Horizon inquiry has been appointed to head an independent review into the death of the Cambridge academic Jason Arday.

Jason Beer KC will examine the handling of allegations of research and other misconduct made against Arday before his resignation as well as the university’s recruitment and support for him as its youngest ever black professor at the age of 37.

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